RLEF Research Plan
Task DAG for the RLEF × Forecasting program (epic hub-t8k9c in hub beads). Arrows read top to bottom: a task can start when everything pointing into it is done. Gate 0 (the proposal ) was approved by Jessica on 2026-08-19 with the cutoff-audit amendment (green).
consistency-ft · beads live in futarchy-fi/hub · dashboard at consistency.futarchy.ai
Collect advertised cutoffs hub-t8k9c.2 Fireworks unblock + backfill hub-t8k9c.1 Exploit(c,S) LP metric hub-t8k9c.5 Episode builder hub-t8k9c.6 Native models + Luna levels hub-t8k9c.18 Post-cutoff probe set hub-t8k9c.8 Reasoning-mode sweep hub-t8k9c.10 KL anchor (arm A2) hub-t8k9c.11 Contamination runner hub-t8k9c.9 Platform + model decision hub-t8k9c.13 Dashboard: cutoff section hub-t8k9c.3 Clean Brier windows hub-t8k9c.4 Brier anchor (arm A1) hub-t8k9c.12 Eval battery automation hub-t8k9c.14 Pilot run (control + A2) hub-t8k9c.15 GATE 1 · Jessica review hub-t8k9c.16 Full run, all arms × seeds hub-t8k9c.17 GATE 2 · write up / extend hub-t8k9c.7
core task
cutoff-audit amendment (Jessica, Gate 0)
approval gate
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